Monday, April 26, 2021

Mechanics of Fuel Price in Deregulated Regime /DH Business Page

 


 A litre of petrol costs Rs.90.44 and a litre of diesel costs  Rs.80.77 in the state capital, Delhi  and Rs.96.81 and Rs.87.79  in financial capital, Mumbai ( as per data, IOC, April 16,2021). The scenario of the retail price surge is not different in states like  Kerala (petrol- Rs.92.26 per litre and diesel- Rs.86.74, as per April 16, 2021) the electoral battles  grounds of  South India. Mainstream political parties are damn silent about the ever time  spike  in  oil prices  which   affects the lives and livelihoods of  people. The inherent upward trend has lost some momentum after the election commission announced results in some states. 

Both centre and state governments blame the international price fluctuations when there is a hike in petrol price. India imports more than 82 % of crude oil from other countries and  fuel price  is correlated with the international price of brent crude oil. But as everyone knows, by the same token, domestic prices also must decline followed by a decline in global prices. Quite often the upward movement go hand in hand but not downward movement. Why? Theoretically the demand-supply factors determine  the high prices, but often   economic theory alone  cannot explain the rise in oil prices as it has other components of central and state taxes and dealer commission. The high price is always associated with the ‘dynamic pricing’ by the government.

Deregulation of Fuel Prices

In order to understand how fuel prices are being decided, we should see a bit of the deregulation of petrol and diesel prices. Government had periodically  intervened in the  retail prices of fuel, in  2010  (Dr. Manmohan Singh) deregulated the price  of petrol and gave  liberty to Oil Marketing Companies to  fix price of petrol based on calculation of their cost and profit. Further deregulation of diesel was implemented in 2015(Mr. Narendra Modi).  The rationale of deregulation is to manage the cost of  the oil prices by  retailers like BPCL, Indian Oil Corporation, HPCL as these companies were suffering due to losses and the compensation from government do never reach them on time. The deregulation of petrol prices in 2010 and diesel prices 2014 gave companies the rights to revise the prices. Despite these changes made in the system, the oil prices are at a skyrocketing level, and the progressive promises made by the political parties during the times of election nowhere helpful at this critical juncture.

Why a small country like Nepal has no refinery and mainly depending on India for its oil requirement has a lower price of fuel ? Would fuel prices be lower than what actually is ? Major oil producing countries had a cut in oil production since  there is a steep fall in the demand  especially  when transportation sector was stand still  during the  days of pandemic. Why high oil prices in India  despite fall in the international prices of crude oil ?  the trend in prices gives a clear picture.


Trends in the Fuel Price

The  trend shows the  domestic prices are not coupled with the  fall in international prices. Then what would be the reason for the current surge  in the oil prices ? Therefore, it is important to look at the methodology of oil prices in India.

Fuel price dynamics

The composition of oil prices  consists  of three factors. 1. Processing and cost of refining crude oil – base price. The OMC’s purchase crude oil from the international markets, after the processing  the fuels like Petrol and diesel produced also requires substantial freight charges 2. state and central tax 3.dealer commission. And the prices are calculated based on this criterion.

                                                         

Price Buildup

May 2014

April 2021

Base Price

47.12 (66%)

30.09 (33 %)

Centre’s Tax

10.39 (14%)

36.47 (40 %)

State’s Tax

11.9 (17%)

20.96 (23 %)

Dealer Commission

2 (3 %)

3.65 (4 %)

Total Retail Price

71.41 (100%)

91.17 (100 %)

 Petrol prices build up for State Capital.

Methodology of prices shows the  various costs involved in the production of fuels from initial stages to final stage. Petrol and diesel are refined and processed  from the crude oil  and  it is distributed by the retailers in  the final stage. The cost involved in the initial stage of processing, refining and freight charges of  Petrol include in the base price  of Rs. 30.09  (April 2021). The Central excise duty is Rs.36.47, the state duty is  Rs.20.96, the dealer commission is Rs.3.65. and the final retail price is Rs.91.17 which includes a major portion as tax. Although   the base price was high, the retail price was comparatively low in May 2014. Hence the pricing shows the increase in fuel prices is correlated with the tax by the central and the state government and not always due to the spike in the price of crude oil in the international market.

Thus, the common man is forced to pay a high tax for fuel, which is nearly 200 % percent of the cost of refining. India  has more than 256 refineries like  Jwalamukhi, Digboy, KG Basin etc and two oil producing authorities such as   IOC and ONGC. The government stopped the subsidy to the oil marketing  companies and the fuel prices are under the control of state and central  government and there is a habitual increase in the fuel price bimonthly since July 2016. Now that it is not a surprise  as it changes  in every 24 hours. Even if  there is fall in the international prices, Government still charges fresh taxes to assimilate profit from the fall in prices.

Often a  clear picture of the situation can be brought into light  with an  interaction to auto men/taxi drivers which  divulge the pain of  common man  in the scenario of escalating fuel prices creating heavy burden  on people’s lives. This despair  continues in  every Indian  household   irrespective of  their ownership of a vehicle. Lives of the people  cannot be improved without adequate measures to boost the  demand in the rural-urban households. Although the trend in headline inflation remains at  moderate rate of  5 % , the core inflation increased to 5.96 % in March 2021, the rising prices put pressure on the cost of inputs and other commodity prices.

Surprisingly  state like Meghalaya reduced tax from 31.62% to 20 % in the recent past, however  Rajasthan has highest duty of  36 %. Lackadaisical attitude of the state and the political parties leads to cascading effects in the lives of the people. The hike in oil prices impacts the transportation sector, hitting the lives of many with the increase in the prices of necessary items and the  increase in freight charges and it leads to the slowing down of manufacturing sector  which leads to the vicious circle of low income and low productivity. Keeping  high oil prices and reducing fuel subsidies to the oil producing companies create a detrimental situation to the economic growth as oil is a commodity which fuel the dreams and development of the nation.

 

 https://www.deccanherald.com/business/mechanics-of-fuel-price-in-a-deregulated-regime-978701.html

 DH Business Page/26.04.2021

 

 

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